刘玉洁

　　女，博士，研究员，优青，陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室副主任，中科院青年创新促进会优秀会员，地理资源所“可桢杰出青年学者”人才计划获得者。2010年毕业于中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所(中国科学院研究生院)，获自然地理学博士学位，同年留所工作。先后在密歇根州立大学、东京大学访学深造。发表学术论文80余篇，出版著作五部，以第一/通讯作者在Agricultural and Forest Meteorology， Earth's Future，Applied Energy等农林科学和地学领域的TOP期刊发表SCI论文40余篇。主持国家自然科学基金委青年、面上、优秀青年基金项目、中科院先导专项A课题、国家重点研发计划子课题、国家发展改革委、地方委托项目等任务多项。研究成果被美国科学促进会（AAAS）亮点报道。

研究领域和方向：

　　研究领域：全球变化/陆地系统模拟

　　研究方向：全球变化与人类活动对粮食安全的影响，全球变化未来风险与适应，农业物候等。

主要学术贡献：（1）深入揭示了农田生态系统中与全球变化密切相关的机理过程，研制并改进了大尺度作物模型生物物理过程以及人为管理措施参数化方案，实现作物模型升尺度模拟，显著提高了模型预测精度。（2）构建了农业生产适应气候变化的多尺度风险管理模型，通过集合概率预测开展了气候变化对我国粮食生产和水分利用的影响评估，为降低气候变化影响预测的不确定性开拓了新思路。（3）从地理学视角，基于多源长序列观测数据，揭示了主要作物物候和产量多尺度时间变化趋势及空间分异特征，阐明了其对温度、降水、辐射等多要素变化的响应机理；定量区分了气候变化和人为管理措施对作物物候和产量变化的分别影响和综合效应，为全球农业物候变化及归因研究提供了方法支撑。（4）基于营养膳食需求和可持续发展目标，预估了未来全球粮食供给风险及需求的差异性，提出粮食主产区适应全球变化不利影响的优化管理措施、为区域保障粮食安全提供了理论和决策依据。　 

代表性论文：

　　[1]      Liu Yujie*, Zhang Jie, Pan Tao, Ge Quansheng. Assessing the adaptability of maize phenology to climate change: the role of anthropogenic–management practices. Journal of Environmental Management, 2021 (293): 112874.

　　[2]      Chen Jie, Liu Yujie *, Zhou Weimo, Zhang Jie, Pan Tao. Effects of climate change and crop management on changes in rice phenology in China from 1981 to 2010[J]. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 2021: 11300.

　　[3]      Zhou Weimo, Liu Yujie *, Syed Tahir Ata-Ul-Karim, Ge Quansheng. Spatial difference of climate change effects on wheat nutritional quality in China. Environmental Research Letters, 2021.

　　[4]      Zhang Jie, Liu Yujie*, Dai Liang. Agricultural practice contributes more to changes in soybean yield than climate change from 1981 to 2010 in Northeast China. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 2021

　　[5]      Tan Qinghua, Liu Yujie*, Dai Liang. Shortened key growth periods of soybean observed in China under climate change. Scientific Reports. 2021. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-87618-9.

　　[6]      Liu Yujie*, Chen Jie, Liu Yanhua, Zhang Yuhu, Ge Quansheng, Philippe Ciais, Josep Penuelas. Global socioeconomic risk of precipitation extremes under climate change[J]. Earth's Future, 2020 (7): e2019EF001331.

　　[7]      Liu Yujie*, Dai Liang. Modelling the impacts of climate change and crop management measures on soybean phenology in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2020: 121271.

　　[8]      Liu Yujie*, Zhang Jie, Qin Ya. How global warming alter future maize yield and water use efficiency in China[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2020, 160:120229.

　　[9]      Liu Yujie*, Chen Jie. Future global socioeconomic risk to droughts based on estimates of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability in a changing climate[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2020:142159.

　　[10]   Liu Yujie*, Zhang Jie, Ge Quansheng. The optimization of wheat yield through adaptive crop management in a changing climate: evidence from China[J]. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 2020.

　　[11]   Chen Jie, Liu Yujie*, Philippe Ciais, Ma Ting, Liu Yanhua, Dai Yamazakie, Ge Quansheng, Josep Penuelas. Global socioeconomic exposure of heat extremes under climate change[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2020:123275.

　　[12]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Jie. Socioeconomic Risk of Droughts under a 2.0oC Warmer Climate: Assessment of Population and GDP Exposures to Droughts in China[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2020,1-12

　　[13]  Liu Yujie*, Chen Jie. Spatial and temporal patterns of drought hazard for China under different RCP scenarios in the 21st century[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2020.

　　[14]   Pan Tao, Hou Shuai, Liu Yujie*, Tan Qinghua, Liu Yanhua, Gao Xiaofei. Influence of degradation on soil water availability in an alpine swamp meadow on the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2020: 137677.

　　[15]   Tan Qinghua, Liu Yujie*. Spatiotemporal variation and climatic response of water level of major lakes in China, Mongolia and Russia[J]. Open geoscience, 2020,12(1),1200-1211.

　　[16]   Liu Yujie*, Zhou Weimo, Ge Quansheng. Spatiotemporal changes of rice phenology in China under climate change from 1981 to 2010[J]. Climatic Change, 2019, 157(2), 261-277.

　　[17]   Liu Yujie*, Qin Ya, Wang Huanjiong, Lv Shuo, Ge Quansheng. Trends in maize (Zea mays L.) phenology    and sensitivity to climate factors in China from 1981 to 2010[J]. International Journal of Biometeorology. 2019, 1-10.

　　[18]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Qiaomin, Tan Qinghua. Responses of wheat yields and water use efficiency to climate change and nitrogen fertilization in the North China plain[J]. Food Security, 2019, 11(6): 1231-1242.

　　[19]   Liu Yujie*, Tan Qinghua. Determining the Parameters of the ？ngstr？m‐Prescott Model for Estimating Solar Radiation in Different Regions of China: Calibration and Modeling[J]. Earth and Space Science, 2019, 6(10): 1976-1986.

　　[20]   Pan Tao, Hou Shuai, Liu Yujie*, Tan Qinghua. Comparison of three models fitting the soil water retention curves in a degraded alpine meadow region[J], Scientific Reports. 2019, 9(1): 1-12.

　　[21]   Liu Yujie*, Qin Ya, Ge Quansheng. Spatiotemporal differentiation of changes in maize phenology in China from 1981 to 2010[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2019, 29(3): 351-362.

　　[22]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Jie. Analysis of Changes in Reference Evapotranspiration, Pan Evaporation, and Actual Evapotranspiration and Their Influencing Factors in the North China Plain During 1998-2005[J]. Earth and Space Science, 2019, 6(8):1366-1377.

　　[23]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Qiaomin, Ge Quansheng, Dai Junhu, Qin Ya, Dai Liang, Zou Xintong, Chen Jie. Modelling the impacts of climate change and crop management on phenological trends of spring and winter wheat in China[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2018, 248: 518-526.

　　[24]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Qiaomin, Ge Quansheng, Dai Junhu, DouYue. Effects of climate change and agronomic practice on changes in wheat phenology[J]. Climatic change, 2018, 150(3-4): 273-287.

　　[25]   Liu Yujie*, Chen Qiaomin, Ge Quansheng, Dai Junhu. Spatiotemporal differentiation of changes in wheat phenology in China under climate change from 1981 to 2010[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 2018, 61(8): 1088-1097.

　　[26]   Chen Jie, Liu Yujie*, Liu Yanhua, Sun Fubao, Ge Quansheng. Population exposure to droughts in China under the 1.5° C global warming target[J]. Earth System Dynamics, 2018, 9(3): 1097-1106.

　　[27]   Chen Qiaomin, Liu Yujie*, Ge Quansheng. Impacts of historic climate variability and land use change on winter wheat climatic productivity in the North China Plain during 1980-2010[J]. Land use policy, 2018, 76: 1-9.

　　[28]   Pan Tao, Hou Shuai, Wu Shaohong, Liu Yujie*, Liu Yanhua, Zou Xintong, Herzberger Anna, Liu Jianguo. Variation of soil hydraulic properties with alpine grassland degradation in the eastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2017, 21(4): 2249-2261.

　　[29]   Pan Tao, Zou Xintong, Liu Yujie*, Wu Shaohong, He Guangming. Contributions of climatic and non-climatic drivers to grassland variations on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Ecological engineering, 2017, 108: 307-317.

　　[30]   Liu Yujie*, Qin Ya, Ge Quansheng, Dai Junhu, Chen Qiaomin. Reponses and sensitivities of maize phenology to climate change from 1981 to 2009 in Henan Province, China[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2017, 27(9): 1072-1084.

　　[31]   Liu Yujie, Tao Fulu. Probabilistic Change of Wheat Productivity and Water Use in China for Global Mean Temperature Changes of 1, 2, and 3 ℃[J]. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2013, 52(1), 114-129.

　　[32]   Tao Pan, Shaohong Wu, Erfu Dai, Yujie Liu*. Estimating the daily global solar radiation spatial distribution from diurnal temperature ranges over the Tibetan Plateau in China[J]. Applied Energy. 2013, 107: 384-393.

　　[33]   Liu Yujie, Yi Luo, Junhua Ma. Case study of developing an integrated water and nitrogen scheme for agricultural systems on the North China Plain[J]. International Agrophysics. 2013. 27(4):425-437.

　　[34]   Liu Yujie, Tao Fulu. Impacts and uncertainty analysis of elevated temperature and CO₂ concentration on wheat biomass[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2012, 22(6): 1002-1012.

　　[35]   Liu Yujie, Luo Yi. A Consolidated Evaluation of the FAO-56 Dual Crop Coefficient Approach Using the Lysimeter Data in the Northern China Plain[J]. Agricultural Water Management, 2010, 97(1): 31-40.

　　[36]   Liu Yujie, Yuan Guofu. Impacts of climate change on winter wheat growing process and production under B2 climate scenario in Panzhuang irrigation district[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2010 (6): 861-875.

　　[37]   刘玉洁, 葛全胜, 戴君虎. 全球气候变化下作物物候研究进展[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(1): 14-24.

　　[38]   刘玉洁, 代粮, 张婕, 封志明, 葛全胜.资源承载力监测研究-以西藏“一江两河”地区为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(7).

　　[39]   张婕, 刘玉洁*, 封志明, 杨艳昭, 葛全胜.自然资源资产负债表编制中生态损益核算[J].自然资源学报, 2020, 35(4): 755-766.

　　[40]   陈洁, 刘玉洁*, 吴绍洪, 谭清华, 葛全胜, 刘燕华. 1961-2010年中国降水时空变化特征及对地表干湿状况影响[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019,34(11): 2440-2453.

　　[41]   刘玉洁, 陈巧敏, 葛全胜, 戴君虎. 气候变化背景下1981-2010 中国小麦物候变化时空分异[J]. 中国科学:地球科学, 2018, 48(7): 888-898.

　　[42]   秦雅, 刘玉洁*, 葛全胜. 气候变化背景下 1981-2010 年中国玉米物候变化时空分异[J]. 地理学报, 2018, 73(5): 906-916.

　　[43]   代粮, 刘玉洁*. 中国东北三省大豆虚拟水时空分异及其影响因素研究[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2018, 20(9): 1274-1285.

　　[44]   高洁, 刘玉洁*, 封志明, 潘韬, 杨艳昭, 张皓. 西藏自治区水土资源承载力监测预警研究[J]. 资源科学, 2018, 40(6): 1209-1221.

　　[45]   刘玉洁*, 戴君虎, 陈鹏飞, 邵全琴. 未来 RCP4. 5 情景下非洲地区主要气候要素时空演变特征[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2016, 18(11): 1522-1528.

　　[46]   刘玉洁等.气候变化对小麦生物量影响的概率预测和不确定性分析[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(03):337-345.

　　[47]   刘玉洁等. 中国地表太阳辐射资源空间化模拟[J]. 自然资源学报, 2012,27(08):1392-1402.　　 

代表性著作：

　　[1] 刘玉洁等著，气候变化对中国主要作物生产影响概率预测图集，气象出版社，2021                              

　　[2] 刘玉洁等著，气候变化背景下中国饮食需求与粮食安全图集，气象出版社，2020

　　[3] 刘玉洁等著，中国干旱人口与经济暴露度地图集，气象出版社，2019　　 

研究生招生

　　招生专业：自然地理学

　　招生方向：全球变化/陆地系统模拟

　　欢迎自然地理学、遥感与地理信息系统、气象学等相关地学专业背景，或计算机、农业经济管理等学科背景的同学保研，报考！

　　同时常年招聘客座研究生、博士后，提供宽松的科研氛围、理想的科研补助和充分的研究指导。

联系方式：

　　通讯地址：北京市朝阳区大屯路甲11号，中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所，陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室，邮编：100101。

　　办公电话：010-64889283

　　E-mail：liuyujie@igsnrr.ac.cn；　　

更新日期:2021年9月15日