| 论文题目： | The effect of Chinese investment on reducing CO2 emission for the Belt and Road countries |
|---|---|
| 第一作者： | Li Xiaxiang; Liu Changxin; Wang Fang; Ge Quansheng; Hao Zhixin |
| 联系作者： | |
| 发表年度： | 2021 |
| 摘 要： | It still remains uncertainty whether China's future investment is conducive to carbon reduction of Belt and Road (B&R) region or not. Here, the possible impact of China's investment was revealed by comparing the CO2 emissions of B&R region in different Chinese investment scenarios. The results showed that CO2 emissions of B&R region will cumulatively increase by 1973 Gt in 2018-210 0 in the No-Chinese Investment Scenario (NIS). Regionally, the India (IND), Middle East Central Asia (MECAsia), and Southeast Asia and its surrounding (SEAsia) has the largest increment. Comparing with the NIS, the CO2 emissions of B&R region will cumulatively decrease by 44.16 Gt and 79.48 Gt, respectively, in the Business-as-usual Chinese Investment Scenario (BIS) and Strengthening Chinese Investment Scenario (SIS). Regionally, the cumulative CO2 emissions of all subregions will decrease in BIS and SIS, of which SEAsia and MECAsia have the largest decrement. Technique and structural effects of China's investment have positive impact on cumulative CO2 emission reduction of B&R region, especially in the structural effect. The scale effect has the negative contribution, but it cannot neutralize the positive impact induced from technique and structural effects. As a result, China's future investment is conductive to reducing CO2 emission of B&R region and holding the temperature increase below 2 degrees C. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| 英文摘要： | It still remains uncertainty whether China's future investment is conducive to carbon reduction of Belt and Road (B&R) region or not. Here, the possible impact of China's investment was revealed by comparing the CO2 emissions of B&R region in different Chinese investment scenarios. The results showed that CO2 emissions of B&R region will cumulatively increase by 1973 Gt in 2018-210 0 in the No-Chinese Investment Scenario (NIS). Regionally, the India (IND), Middle East Central Asia (MECAsia), and Southeast Asia and its surrounding (SEAsia) has the largest increment. Comparing with the NIS, the CO2 emissions of B&R region will cumulatively decrease by 44.16 Gt and 79.48 Gt, respectively, in the Business-as-usual Chinese Investment Scenario (BIS) and Strengthening Chinese Investment Scenario (SIS). Regionally, the cumulative CO2 emissions of all subregions will decrease in BIS and SIS, of which SEAsia and MECAsia have the largest decrement. Technique and structural effects of China's investment have positive impact on cumulative CO2 emission reduction of B&R region, especially in the structural effect. The scale effect has the negative contribution, but it cannot neutralize the positive impact induced from technique and structural effects. As a result, China's future investment is conductive to reducing CO2 emission of B&R region and holding the temperature increase below 2 degrees C. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| 刊物名称： | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION |
| 全文链接： | |
| 论文类别： | SCI |
在线留言
联系我们
所长信箱