| 论文题目： | Prediction of Clausius-Clapeyron Scaling of Daily Precipitation Extremes over China |
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| 第一作者： | Chen Wenhui, Cui Huijuan, Zhenga Jingyun |
| 联系作者： | |
| 发表年度： | 2024 |
| 摘 要： | Observations and model simulations have confirmed that the higher percentiles of precipitation intensity of all wet days have increased with the local daily dewpoint temperature at the Clausius-Clapeyron (C-C) rate of 7% degrees C-1 using the binning technique over China. It is uncertain whether the binning scaling rates will remain constant in the future climate. Here, we use daily precipitation and dewpoint temperature (DPT) over China from 20 CMIP6 models to examine and project the change of binning scaling of precipitation extremes. The results of the study suggest that the multimodel ensemble median (MEM) generally captures the spatial distribution of binning scaling rates and binning curves in different climate zones across China. The binning scaling rates have stability in the future but with a large increasing trend (more than 30%) in southeast China in the far future (2061-2100) under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. CMIP6 models project that both the peak of extreme precipitation and the temperature for the plateau mountain zone will increase in the far future under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, implying that the peak structure does not provide an upper limit for future precipitation extremes. |
| 英文摘要： | |
| 刊物名称： | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
| 全文链接： | |
| 论文类别： | SCI |
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