| 论文题目： | The time-advance effect of China's rooftop solar photovoltaics program on the dual carbon targets and its implication on the globe |
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| 第一作者： | Lu Hong-Wei, Yan Yi-Ming, Liang Dong-Zhe, Duan Xu etc. |
| 联系作者： | |
| 发表年度： | 2024 |
| 摘 要： | Rooftop solar photovoltaics (RSPV) plays an important role in energy transition and climate goals. However, the contribution of RSPV to the dual carbon targets (DCTs) has not yet been quantitatively investigated at the national or global scale. Here, we investigate this contribution with an improved Stochastic Impacts by Regression on the Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model. We find out the time-advance effect of China's pilot RSPV program, i.e., doubling expansion of the current pilot area helps that the DCTs will be achieved 5 years ahead of schedule; a full expansion plan from merely six identified key provinces can be enough to guarantee that China will achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality 5 and 4 years ahead of their respective time schedules. This effect implies global RSPV development; about 25 % of the world's buildable rooftops for RSPV installation will help reduce 1.4 billion tons of carbon emissions per year and thus achieve global carbon neutrality by 2050. The results will attract a widespread new energy community interested in expanding RSPV and helping governments formulate carbon reduction policies. |
| 英文摘要： | |
| 刊物名称： | SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY |
| 全文链接： | |
| 论文类别： | SSCI |
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