论文--中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

论文

论文题目：	Accurate prediction of spatial distribution of soil potentially toxic elements using machine learning and associated key influencing factors identification: A case study in mining and smelting area in southwestern China
第一作者：	Li Kai, Guo Guanghui, Zhang Degang, Lei Mei etc.
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发表年度：	2024
摘　　要：	Accurate prediction of spatial distribution of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) is crucial for soil pollution prevention and risk control. Achieving accurate prediction of spatial distribution of soil PTEs at a large scale using conventional methods presents significant challenges. In this study, machine learning (ML) models, specially artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), were used to predict spatial distribution of soil PTEs and identify associated key factors in mining and smelting area located in Yunnan Province, China, under the three scenarios: (1) natural + socioeconomic + spatial datasets (NS), (2) NS + irrigation pollution index (IPI) datasets, (3) NS + IPI + deposition (DEPO) datasets. The results highlighted the combination of NS+IPI+DEPO yielded the highest predictive accuracy across ML models. Particularly, XGB exhibited the highest performance for As (R2 =0.7939), Cd (R2 =0.6679), Cu (R2 =0.8519), Pb (R2 =0.8317), and Zn (R2 =0.7669), whereas RF performed the best for Ni (R2 =0.7146). The feature importance and Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis revealed that DEPO and IPI were the pivotal factors influencing the distribution of soil PTEs. Our findings highlighted the important role of DEPO in spatial distribution prediction of soil PTEs, which has often been ignored in previous studies.
英文摘要：
刊物名称：	JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
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论文类别：	SCI